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3 key on-chain metrics point to a bullish reversal in Ethereum price

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While Ether (ETH) price has been stuck between the $340-$350 range for the last month, multiple on-chain metrics suggest that a recovery may be building.

Santiment, a cryptocurrency data analytics firm, recently noted that the number of deposits to exchanges has been decreasing since the start of September. According to the firm, the number of addresses used to send Ether to exchanges has seen a 53% decline since Sept. 1.

Ether daily deposits in the last 6 months. Source: Santiment

Although sell pressure on Ether has been reducing on exchanges, the number of new users on the network has been steadily increasing. 

Data from glassnode, a onchain analytics resource, shows the number of addresses holding at least 0.01 Ether reached a new all-time high at 10,116,076. 

Ether addresses holding 0.01+ coins

Ether addresses holding 0.01+ coins. Source: glassnode

This growth is largely driven by the DeFi sector and just this week Etheruem wallet, MetaMask confirmed that it surpassed 1 million monthly active users, a figure that has tripled since February. 

Crypto whales have also been accumulating Ether at the current princes, suggesting that they believe the altcoin is underpriced. 

While it is hard to affix a concrete value to crypto assets due to the high levels of market volatility, Ether has been a top performer in 2020 and the altcoin still significantly outpaces the gains seen from Bitcoin. 

Bitcoin and Ether YTD performance

Bitcoin and Ether YTD performance. Source: Digital Assets Data

According to Santiment, the top 100 Ether whales have been stacking Ether for the past 40 days and these addresses have grown their balance by more than 3.7 million Ether during this time period.

DeFi activity continues to expand

The decentralized finance sector has dominated the crypto world in 2020 and it is clearly one of the main reasons for the increased interest in Ether and other digital assets. 

The growth of the sector has also strengthened Ethereum’s use case and placed a spotlight on blockchain networks providing Layer2 technology.

Total value locked in DeFi

Total value locked in DeFi. Source: Digital Assets Data

In September the price of DeFi tokens took a massive hit but user activity within the sector is still holding strong. 

According to Digital Assets Data and DeFi Pulse, the total value locked on DeFi is sitting at $10.5 billion, having grown by 26% in the last 30 days. 

Trading activity within the sector has also reached new highs. Take for example, the Uniswap decentralized exchange, which in September saw a record monthly volume of $15.3 billion, a figure which exceeded Coinbase.  

Other areas within Ethereum have seen an increase in activity. The Non-fungible Token (NFT) sector saw over $7.7 million in sales volumes over the last month, according to data from Non-fungible.com.

DeFi will have some growing pains

Even though on-chain analysis paints a bullish picture for Ether, it is also worth noting that the Ethereum blockchain is currently sitting on a weak foundation as congestion and high fees continue to be an issue for the network. 

This has led developers and various DeFi platforms to begin searching for and experimenting with blockchain networks that offer layer 2 technologies. While the integration of layer 2 solutions are unlikely to diminish demand for Ether, there are other more menacing clouds forming. 

Last week the CFTC and DOJ dropped the hammer on BitMEX, arrested its co-founder and announced that the exchange owners were charged of operating an illegal derivatives exchange and violating the banking laws. 

On Oct. 5 the U.S. Department of Justice also announced that John McAfee had been arrested in Spain for tax evasion and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) alleges that McAfee promoted initial coin offerings (ICOs) without disclosing that he was being paid by the ICO issuers to tweet about each project. 

What is clear is that authorities and regulators intend to pursue individuals and businesses which evade the law in order to promote their crypto products and services. 

Given that decentralized exchanges like Uniswap lack KYC and AML policies, DeFi could easily be the next target that the SEC, CFTC and DOJ go after, especially with the growing number of scam projects in the space.



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Ethereum

3 Trends Show Ethereum Is On Track For Strong Growth in 2021

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  • Ethereum has undergone a strong drop from its year-to-date highs at $490.
  • The coin currently trades for $375, around 25% below those highs.
  • At the worst of the correction last month, the coin was down even further.
  • Ethereum remains bullish on a long-term basis as long-term trends favor bulls, analysts say.
  • One trader recently shared a chart indicating that both the technicals and fundamentals favor bulls.

Three Ethereum Trends Suggest the Coin Is Primed to See Rapid Growth

Ethereum remains in a bullish state from a macro perspective after a strong 25% correction from the year-to-date highs, analysts say.

One analyst, the head of technical analysis at Blockfyre, recently shared the chart below. It shows that the cryptocurrency has recently formed two bullish macro technical signs: ETH has broken out of a 715-day range while it is forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, suggesting the formation of an uptrend.

Not to mention, Ethereum’s 2.0 upgrade is slated to begin in the near future with the rolling out of phase zero. This may drive capital into ETH as investors seek to capture the yield offered in the coin.

“$ETH Notes on Chart: 2.0 Coming, HH + HL on top of 715 day range, break PoB to ATH’s. You’re bearish? Buy + Hold + Wealth Drop the LTF bias.” 

Chart of ETH's price action over the past three years with analysis by crypto trader and head of TA at BLockfyre Pentoshi.
Source: ETHUSD from TradingView.com

Competition Abound?

While Ethereum may be strong in its own right, the coin may face competition from other blockchains that could suppress ETH upside.

According to a Bloomberg article released on Oct. 17, Polkadot is an Ethereum blockchain killer. It is a recently-launched blockchain network that uses a network of sidechains that are customizable by developers to facilitate a much better user experience than its predecessor.

Outlier Ventures reported that the number of Polkadot developments has begun to increase, boding well for the network.

“While developer interest in Bitcoin and Ethereum has declined, the number of monthly active developers building on Polkadot increased by 44% in the 12 months ended in May, the report found.”

It is currently unclear how much of an effect a rising Polkadot will have on ETH. But it’s worth noting that Ethereum has faced some setbacks over recent months as the cost of transactions has increased rapidly and as the high block times have begun to limit some development.

Photo by Florian Olivo on Unsplash
Price tags: ethusd, ethbtc
Charts from TradingView.com
3 Technical Trends Show Ethereum Is On Track For Strong Growth in 2021





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The Crucial Level to Watch as Ethereum Prepares to Shoot Toward $700

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  • Ethereum topped out dramatically in August when it hit $490, then crashed.
  • The coin currently trades for $370, 25% below those highs.
  • Analysts think that Ethereum could soon shoot higher as the macro trend remains bullish.
  • ETH will need to hold a crucial support level in the $300 range, then decisively surmount the year-to-date highs around the high-$400s.
  • Institutions are getting bullish alongside technical analysts.
  • Grayscale Investments recently revealed that it has accumulated 2% of all of the cryptocurrency in circulation.

Ethereum Could Shoot Toward $600-700: Here’s Why

Analysts think that Ethereum is on track to shoot towards $600-700 in the coming months and years as long as it holds pivotal support in the vicinity of $300.

The head of technical analysis at Blockfyre, a crypto-asset research company, recently said on the matter:

“ETH price discovery. 2021 Glaringly obvious only the patient will win but there’s trades to be taken within… $700 likely isn’t too far off. Eth 2.0 Phase 0 within a week could be one of many bullish catalysts although I just don’t think it looks as bullish as BTC. I refuse to not have it in my portfolio. It is the lifeline of alts, and has massive changes ahead.”

Chart of ETH's price action over the past few years with analysis by crypto trader and the had of TA at Blockfyre, Pentoshi.
Source: BTCUSD from TradingView.com

This bullish sentiment has been echoed by other analysts.

One analyst noted that a macro analysis of Ethereum suggests that as long as $350 holds, the coin will double to $700 over time. 

Institutions Accumulate ETH En-Masse

There is an institutional aspect of the ongoing Ethereum market trend, boosting the chance the asset moves to the upside.

Barry Silbert, founder and CEO of leading digital asset investor the Digital Currency Group, recently said that Grayscale Investments owns 2% of all Ethereum now. This means that the firm holds $800 million worth of the coin, or approximately 2.2 million ETH.

Institutions are accumulating Ethereum as the decentralized finance (DeFi) revolution grows. Spencer Noon, head of DTC Capital, says on the matter:

“My read on #DeFi after speaking with instl investors, fund mgrs, OTC desks, and FOs over the last few wks: The herd is coming. They’re excited about DeFi but new to it, so they’re buying $ETH first.”

Analysts think that continued institutional investment in ETH will drive prices dramatically higher.

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Price tags: ethusd, ethbtc
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The Crucial Level to Watch as Ethereum Prepares to Shoot Toward $600





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Ethereum

Price analysis 10/16: BTC, ETH, XRP, BCH, BNB, LINK, DOT, ADA, LTC, BSV

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Bitcoin and altcoins must rebound off their immediate support levels to recapture bullish momentum and resume the uptrend.



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