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Foresight or folly? Data show 70% of exchanges are unmoved by DeFi volume

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A recent survey by cryptocurrency data aggregator, CryptoCompare, shows that centralized exchange operators do not see the emergence of decentralized trading venues like Uniswap as a threat despite growing volume and activity in the DeFi space. 

In its September exchange review, CryptoCompare asked 26 of the leading venues in the space how likely it was for DEX liquidity to overtake that of centralized exchanges in a 2-year time span. 70% of those interviewed said that decentralized exchanges will not overtake centralized exchange volume due to their lack of liquidity.

Only 7.7% of the representatives found that it was a likely event, while 19.2% remained neutral. As shown below, 34.6% of the participants believe it is unlikely and 38.5% say it is very unlikely.

DEX liquidity survey results. Source: CryptoCompare

Is DeFi still a diamond in the rough?

It is easy to dismiss DeFi as yet another short lived crypto-trend perpetuated by money-hungry founders and fueled by gullible investors. For multiple reasons, the sector resembles that of the 2017 ICO craze. 

There’s unaudited contracts holding hundreds of millions of dollars, unrealistics returns for platforms that seem like nothing more than vaporware and a whole lot of FOMO. Since DeFi became a buzzword, there has also been a significant number of scam projects and developer drama which have generated major waves in crypto media.

So the question is, if most of the highly speculative token projects appreciate steeply overnight for no reason, then abruptly crash the next day only to crash as abruptly, why do investors keep pouring money into DeFi? 

The primary reason is that the rewards provided by liquidity protocols have earned yield farmers unbelievable sums of money. As high APYs attract more yield farmers, decentralized exchanges like Uniswap and Curve can count on growing liquidity and as long as this cycle remains DeFi trading volumes are expected to increase.

Time to take DeFi seriously?

However, rewards usually come from trading fees. This means that, the higher the volume, the more exchanges and liquidity providers earn. 

DEX daily active users

DEX daily active users. Source: Digital Assets Data

Although data from Cointelegraph and Digital Assets Data show that the number of active users on decentralized exchanges has been in a steady decline since September, the total value locked in DeFi platforms continues to rise. 

Total value locked in DeFi platforms

Total value locked in DeFi platforms. Source: Defi Pulse

Flipside Crypto, a onchain data resource, recently found that around $300 million is being sent everyday to DeFi applications in Ether and other ERC20 tokens. 

This is nearly double the inflow seen at centralized exchanges and 70% of the $300 million alone are sent to Uniswap. It’s also worth noting that in September Uniswap trading volumes eclipsed that of leading centralized exchanges like Coinbase on multiple occasions.

According to the CryptoCompare survey, centralized exchange representatives believe that the privacy provided by DEXs are the primary reason why traders use these exchanges. 

While this is partially true, some of these projects are also aiming to solve some of the most challenging problems that exist in the digital asset world.

For example, Curve provides users a way to exchange stablecoins with very little slippage due to its liquidity pools, while Pickle Finance aims to bring stability to the pegs of stablecoins by artificially increasing supply and demand through malleable incentive mechanisms. 

There are a handful of similar projects and their existence shows that DeFi is attractive not only for its advantages to the individual but also for the community.

The truth is, centralized exchanges feel threatened by DeFi 

Many industry leaders have decided to not take DeFi seriously by simply writing it off as another passing fad but Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao feels differently.  Recently CZ told CoinDesk that he expects DeFi to “cannibalize” his exchange and this explains the exchange has been making some serious ventures into DeFi as of late.  

Even though the survey participants are effectively ignoring decentralized exchange trading volumes now, one interesting take away is that 40% of exchanges surveyed admitted that they are building or planning to build a DEX in the future.

This is a clear signal that centralized exchanges actually do view DeFi as a serious threat to their current business models.



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Ethereum 2.0 deposit contract to launch this week: ConsenSys dev

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ConsenSys developer Ben Edgington has published an update that predicts the ETH 2.0 beacon chain genesis will happen within the next six to eight weeks.

In a post announcing the launch of ‘V1.0.0 release candidate 0’, Edgington revealed the protocol’s deposit contract address feature should be announced this week. The deposit contract allows ETH to be sent between Ethereum and ETH 2.0, and is one of the few remaining updates needed to facilitate the roll-out of ETH 2.0 phase 0:

“As I understand it, we are good to go: deposit contract in the next few days; beacon chain genesis 6-8 weeks later.”

However, the PegaSys engineering group developer emphasized his prediction “is not an official statement.”

To complete phase 0’s launch, 500,000 Ether will need to be locked for staking after the beacon chain goes live, followed by a week-long genesis delay to give the network time to prepare.

According to Edgington, the new release also strengthens Ethereum against denial-of-service attacks, implements the genesis delay and a temporary quadrupling of penalty fees.

Penalties were increased in response to the “slightly bumpy” genesis “dress rehearsal” on the Spadina test network at the end of September, and what is now “very low participation” on the Medalla testnet.

The developer described the fee hike as “a temporary measure to give stakers more confidence in case we hit trouble.” Despite low testnet participation, Edgington firmly believes the network is ready to transition into phase 0:

“I think people are getting a bit bored of testnests. It’s time to move on […] we need to launch Phase 0 asap.”

Edgington’s post comes after a successful trial on the Zinken testnet last week, which Set Protocol’s Anthony Sassano described as the “second last dress rehearsal testnet before we finally set an ETH 2 phase 0 mainnet launch date.”



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3 Trends Show Ethereum Is On Track For Strong Growth in 2021

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  • Ethereum has undergone a strong drop from its year-to-date highs at $490.
  • The coin currently trades for $375, around 25% below those highs.
  • At the worst of the correction last month, the coin was down even further.
  • Ethereum remains bullish on a long-term basis as long-term trends favor bulls, analysts say.
  • One trader recently shared a chart indicating that both the technicals and fundamentals favor bulls.

Three Ethereum Trends Suggest the Coin Is Primed to See Rapid Growth

Ethereum remains in a bullish state from a macro perspective after a strong 25% correction from the year-to-date highs, analysts say.

One analyst, the head of technical analysis at Blockfyre, recently shared the chart below. It shows that the cryptocurrency has recently formed two bullish macro technical signs: ETH has broken out of a 715-day range while it is forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, suggesting the formation of an uptrend.

Not to mention, Ethereum’s 2.0 upgrade is slated to begin in the near future with the rolling out of phase zero. This may drive capital into ETH as investors seek to capture the yield offered in the coin.

“$ETH Notes on Chart: 2.0 Coming, HH + HL on top of 715 day range, break PoB to ATH’s. You’re bearish? Buy + Hold + Wealth Drop the LTF bias.” 

Chart of ETH's price action over the past three years with analysis by crypto trader and head of TA at BLockfyre Pentoshi.
Source: ETHUSD from TradingView.com

Competition Abound?

While Ethereum may be strong in its own right, the coin may face competition from other blockchains that could suppress ETH upside.

According to a Bloomberg article released on Oct. 17, Polkadot is an Ethereum blockchain killer. It is a recently-launched blockchain network that uses a network of sidechains that are customizable by developers to facilitate a much better user experience than its predecessor.

Outlier Ventures reported that the number of Polkadot developments has begun to increase, boding well for the network.

“While developer interest in Bitcoin and Ethereum has declined, the number of monthly active developers building on Polkadot increased by 44% in the 12 months ended in May, the report found.”

It is currently unclear how much of an effect a rising Polkadot will have on ETH. But it’s worth noting that Ethereum has faced some setbacks over recent months as the cost of transactions has increased rapidly and as the high block times have begun to limit some development.

Photo by Florian Olivo on Unsplash
Price tags: ethusd, ethbtc
Charts from TradingView.com
3 Technical Trends Show Ethereum Is On Track For Strong Growth in 2021





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The Crucial Level to Watch as Ethereum Prepares to Shoot Toward $700

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  • Ethereum topped out dramatically in August when it hit $490, then crashed.
  • The coin currently trades for $370, 25% below those highs.
  • Analysts think that Ethereum could soon shoot higher as the macro trend remains bullish.
  • ETH will need to hold a crucial support level in the $300 range, then decisively surmount the year-to-date highs around the high-$400s.
  • Institutions are getting bullish alongside technical analysts.
  • Grayscale Investments recently revealed that it has accumulated 2% of all of the cryptocurrency in circulation.

Ethereum Could Shoot Toward $600-700: Here’s Why

Analysts think that Ethereum is on track to shoot towards $600-700 in the coming months and years as long as it holds pivotal support in the vicinity of $300.

The head of technical analysis at Blockfyre, a crypto-asset research company, recently said on the matter:

“ETH price discovery. 2021 Glaringly obvious only the patient will win but there’s trades to be taken within… $700 likely isn’t too far off. Eth 2.0 Phase 0 within a week could be one of many bullish catalysts although I just don’t think it looks as bullish as BTC. I refuse to not have it in my portfolio. It is the lifeline of alts, and has massive changes ahead.”

Chart of ETH's price action over the past few years with analysis by crypto trader and the had of TA at Blockfyre, Pentoshi.
Source: BTCUSD from TradingView.com

This bullish sentiment has been echoed by other analysts.

One analyst noted that a macro analysis of Ethereum suggests that as long as $350 holds, the coin will double to $700 over time. 

Institutions Accumulate ETH En-Masse

There is an institutional aspect of the ongoing Ethereum market trend, boosting the chance the asset moves to the upside.

Barry Silbert, founder and CEO of leading digital asset investor the Digital Currency Group, recently said that Grayscale Investments owns 2% of all Ethereum now. This means that the firm holds $800 million worth of the coin, or approximately 2.2 million ETH.

Institutions are accumulating Ethereum as the decentralized finance (DeFi) revolution grows. Spencer Noon, head of DTC Capital, says on the matter:

“My read on #DeFi after speaking with instl investors, fund mgrs, OTC desks, and FOs over the last few wks: The herd is coming. They’re excited about DeFi but new to it, so they’re buying $ETH first.”

Analysts think that continued institutional investment in ETH will drive prices dramatically higher.

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Price tags: ethusd, ethbtc
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The Crucial Level to Watch as Ethereum Prepares to Shoot Toward $600





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